Senin, 12 April 2010

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April 12, 2010
The One Thing to Remember When You Trade Gold Stocks
By Brian Hunt, editor in chief, Stansberry & Associates

Seven years ago, at a private investment conference in Florida, the legendary speculator Doug Casey told me something I'll never forget...

Doug was discussing the enormous wealth-producing potential of gold mining and exploration stocks, should gold enter a bull market like it did in the late 1970s.

The late '70s followed the giant government handout programs of Lyndon Johnson, an expensive war, and the debasement of the U.S. dollar. Gold, which represents safety and "real money," soared during that time...

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Doug pointed out that the gold stock sector is tiny compared to most other sectors – the entire gold mining industry doesn't even add up to ExxonMobil's market cap. So if the investment community rushes to invest in the sector, "it will be like trying to siphon the contents of the Hoover Dam through a garden hose."

Every trader should be on the lookout for assets that have the potential to rise three, five, or even 10 times in a matter of years. These opportunities are rare... so one has to keep a close eye on potentially explosive situations... like when the contents of the Hoover Dam try to flow through a garden hose.

Now, we are in a period of insane government spending, an expensive war, and the debasement of the U.S. dollar, which has lost about 33% of its value since 2002. And the debts the U.S. government has taken on are much larger than they were 30 years ago.

This backdrop makes me take notice of the recent "breakout" in the price of gold. The metal just reached its highest point in 90 days. (It also struck an all-time high against the euro last week.)


Is this the start of the "final unraveling" the Western world has been practicing for the past few decades? We can't say. But as my colleague Porter Stansberry often reminds us, the risks of some sort of currency crisis are huge right now.

We have a situation where half of Americans pay no federal tax... which ensures they will only vote for candidates who promise more handouts and more spending. We have politicians on both sides of the fence whose solution to the credit and debt problems of 2008 is to extend more credit and take on more debt.

 
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When I consider these problems, the explosive potential of gold stocks, the fact that the long-term trend in gold is UP, and the breakout you see above, I think it's insane that the average investor owns no gold... and no gold stocks.

If you're in this "insane" camp, it's not too late to buy gold. And if you're interested a speculative shot at making 10 times your money, become familiar with the gold stock sector immediately.

Good trading,

Brian

P.S. I recommend becoming a reader of Casey Research's International Speculator for learning the ins and outs of tiny, speculative exploration companies. For larger companies, consider the S&A Resource Report. Our latest gold idea could produce multiples on your money should the breakout you see above explode into higher gold prices. You can learn more about this idea here.
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LastChange52-Wk
S&P 500 1191.31+0.75%+39.08%
Oil (USO)41.16-0.68%+34.12%
Gold (GLD) 113.58+0.83%+31.60%
Silver (SLV)18.02+1.69%+48.07%
U.S. Dollar81.04+0.00%

-5.34%

Euro
1.35
+0.85%
+2.18%
VIX 16.44-1.08%-55.00%
HUI 450.10+1.17%+53.08%
10-Year Yield 3.89%-0.011.27
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CompanySymIndustry

Capital One

COF

credit cards

Equity Residential

EQR

residential REIT

T. Rowe Price

TROW

asset mgmt

Xerox

XRX

copiers

Allstate

ALL

insurance

Coach

COH

handbags

Home Depot

HD

home goods

Time Warner

TWX

entertainment

Yum Brands

YUM

fast food

Caterpillar

CAT

machinery

CSX

CSX

railroads

Kinder Morgan

KMP

pipelines

Vale

VALE

steel & iron

American Express

AXP

credit cards

ConocoPhillips

COP

Big Oil

Honeywell

HON

defense

Union Pacific

UNP

railroads

CBS

CBS

TV broadcast

Diageo

DEO

booze

MetLife

MET

life insurance

Viacom

VIA-B

cable TV

CNOOC

CEO

oil & gas

Walt Disney

DIS

entertainment

News Corp

NWSA

entertainment

Wells Fargo

WFC

bank

Cummins

CMI

machinery

iS Emerging Markets

EEM

emerging mkts

Republic Services

RSG

garbage

Wynn Resorts

WYNN

casinos

CompanySymIndustry

Jackson Hewitt

JTX

tax prep

Odyssey Marine

OMEX

treasure

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